Some elements on this page are available to enterprise users only. Get started

Back to top

Other MoA

Other MoA event in Poland on Sun 1st February 2026

1st February 2026

The source material and subsequent headlines on METIS are collated by our system and taken direct from source. The opinions and views expressed in these source articles and source headlines are not the views and opinions of METIS or its employees.
METIS is not able to substantiate the veracity of sources or check misinformation in real-time. Our analysis is based on currently reported information and may change as new information becomes available.

Balloons used to smuggle cigarettes from Belarus have been reported crossing into Polish airspace for a third night in a row. Polish authorities on Monday said the “hybrid incidents” were part of the threat to the country’s eastern border posed by Russia’s ally Belarus.

“The Belarusian side made another attempt at reconnaissance and checking the reaction of the Polish air defense systems,” the Operational Command of the Polish Armed Forces wrote in a report on X into the incidents from Jan. 31 to Feb. 1.

Armed forces spokesman Jacek Goryszewski said there were more balloon incidents in the first weeks of 2026 compared to the beginning of 2025. He said the increased frequency could be caused by a political decision in Minsk, or by smugglers adapting to stronger border defenses by Poland.

Poland’s military said the recent incidents posed “no threat to the security of the Polish airspace”. However, temporary restrictions for civil aviation were imposed on part of the airspace over the Podlaskie region bordering Belarus.

The Belarusian embassy in Warsaw did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Poland and the Baltic countries have accused Belarus and Russia of conducting a hybrid war against the West, whose elements include fomenting a migration crisis on the European Union’s eastern border, sabotage and espionage, as well as the use of balloons smuggling cigarettes.

Polish authorities are on high alert since Russian drones entered Polish airspace in September, while an explosion on a rail line carrying passenger trains in November was blamed on Moscow.

On Jan. 22, the Operational Command of the Polish Army reported “increased activity by small unmanned aerial vehicles operating over the Polish-Belarusian border” it had observed the previous night. At the time, Poland summoned the Belarusian envoy to Warsaw, arguing that “such incidents are part of the hybrid operations undertaken by the Belarusian side, aimed at destabilizing the security situation and testing the Polish airspace defense system.”

“The charge d’affairs couldn’t answer to us about the role of the Belarusian side in this, but we are doubting the fact that the Belarusian side has no knowledge or impact on such a number of these actions,” Maciej Wewiór, a spokesman for the Polish Foreign Affairs Ministry, told the Polish Press Agency.

In December, Lithuania declared a national emergency over security risks posed by meteorological balloons sent from Belarus that had violated its airspace. The balloons had forced Lithuania to repeatedly shut down its main airport in Vilnius, stranding thousands of people.

Lithuanian authorities said the balloons were part of a “Belarusian hybrid attack”, while Belarus’ authoritarian President Alexander Lukashenko denounced Lithuania’s move to close its border in response as a “mad scam” and part of a “hybrid war” against his country.

Contextual analysis

Analysing the event count by highlighting the presence of munition categories over a six-month data period.

Enterprise

Understand the complete picture with an Enterprise account.

Learn more

Sign in to view this information

Information sources

Discussion and media of this event has been extracted from all sources.

Sign in to view this information

Enterprise
Country information

Click to view more information about the country and see more information on conflicts occuring in that region.

Poland (POL)

Discover more

Events using similar munitions or platforms and those that happen within a recent time line and proximity are displayed below.

Enterprise

Understand the complete picture with an Enterprise account.

Learn more

Sign in to view this information